- 道瓊年底前會漲到一萬五?
- 黃金交叉,等拉回買進?
- John...
- Bollinger,周...
- Bollinger,...
- 美國超級盃足球廣告
- M1B-M2死亡交叉?...
- 經濟佳,但低利率至2014?
- Pimco,評論經濟大環境
- Fed希望弱勢美元
- 操盤手生活中的秘密
- 柏南克,親口說經濟
- 麥加華,預期三四月開始跌
- Gartman,BDI,黃金
- Gartman說,黃金續漲
- 達沃斯,銀行家說法
- 索羅斯,全球總經看法
- 美Q4的GDP佳,但Q1差
- IMF調降全球經濟成長
- 中國經濟?金融政策?
- 麥加華,股市、債市、黃金
- 澳幣、英鎊、股市,技術分析
- 歐元,貶值到1.17
- 技術分析,歐元、美股
- Gartman,公債殖利率
- 歐債危機,更影響新興市場
- 原油暴跌的主因
- Gartman,黃金續漲
- 技術分析,股債、美元
- PMI,歐元區經濟衰退
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February 14, 2012
希臘問題過關,美國經濟持續加溫,蘋果站上500美元,知名財經巴倫雜誌封面頭條為「道瓊年底前會漲到一萬五」,真的道瓊年底前會漲到一萬五嗎?從公司獲利來看,2/3的機率會達到,從價值來看更有可能,來看看兩位交易所內交易員的專家怎麼說。要聽老師更清楚說法,請到2/22免費講座現場。
Dow 15,000?
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Discussing whether the Dow can hit 15,000 by the end of the next year, with Gordon Charlop, Rosenblatt Securities and Jack Bouroudjian, Bull... (3:47)
February 7, 2012
50MA與200MA已經黃金交叉,投資人認為選舉年政策利多發酵,預期仍將會上漲。短線若有漲多回檔是買點。仔細說明看影音檔。
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Technicals Signaling a Pullback?
As sentiment surge charges on, are the technicals confirming a rally or is a pullback in store? Insight with Dan Fitzpatrick, Stockmarket Mentor president. (4:56)
February 7, 2012
使用過布林線嗎?有看過布林線的發明人John Bollinger長得什麼樣子嗎?來看看大師風範,談元月效應及黃金交叉。正確工具使用在不正確的技巧上,運用在現在的「黃金交叉」是最佳「工具與使用技巧的不協調」的案例。
The January Effect & the Golden Cross
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Stocks kicking off 2012 with a bang. Will the rally continue? And which part of the market should you expect to outperform. Let's bring in president of bollinger.com. made so much of this. And as I understand it at the close the s&p actually did attain that golden cross. Do you read too much into it though? No, this is the perfect example of the tool and task being mismatched. The golden cross is a great tool in a big roaring boom market like the boom market from 1982 to 1998, where it tells you when you're supposed to be in the market and when the risk is somewhat higher and such like that. (3:26)
February 7, 2012
2011/11/7。年底至隔年五月,大選年,技術分析買訊,季節性周期的多頭優勢。跌到哪裡就要賣了?不會賣,只要拉回就買。預期六個月之內測試高點。現在2012/2/7看來是正確了。從周期與季節性來看,仔細看他提供的統計數字,股市將漲。股市在11月跌了一波,看看Bollinger怎麼說?
Checking the Technicals Amid Turmoil
請點選下面觀看英文影音檔The Fast Money traders weigh in with their top trades; including, Titan International and the play on whether India will embrace retail reform and its impact on Wal-Mart. Also, charting the market's direction, with John Bollinger, Bollinger Bands president. (6:06)
February 7, 2012
2011/8/19。當時John Bollinger說,第二支腳若股價與股價比創新低,但是股價相對布林線比,沒創新低,S&P 500將上漲。〈參考布林極線指標就懂〉現在回頭看,當時說目前正在形成W底的第二支腳,非常準。又說金融股將漲,更準。
W-Shaped Bottom for S&P 500?
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We could be forming a W-shaped bottom in the S&P 500, says John Bollinger, of BollingerBands.com. "Tape is emotional right now," he adds. (5:52)
February 4, 2012
經濟數據顯示經濟持續改善,為何Fed持續重複強調低利率維持至2014?前聯準會官員接受專訪,說明原因。主持人不太認同他的說法,您來看看是否聽得懂他的道理?認同與否?您看得出來真正原因嗎?他知道嗎?若知道,為什麼不說?
Zero Interest Rate Ridiculous?
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With an improving economy, why is the Fed keeping interest rates ultra-low until 2014? Randy Kroszner, fmr Federal Reserve Governor, weighs in. (4:09)
February 4, 2012
Pimco的執行長CEO,從近期數據來看近期經濟狀況,以及未來金融政策。從就業報告數據來看,經濟大環境因周期性變化,短期轉佳,但是長期來看不佳的狀況仍然持續。柏南克講話來看,原先的金融政策將持續,沒有改變,低利環境將持續。Pimco執行長看QE3未來仍然會實施。歐債問題說明,請看檔案。
Pimco's El-Erian on Jobs Report, Economy
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Feb. 3 (Bloomberg) -- Mohamed El-Erian, chief executive officer of Pacific Investment Management Co., talks about the January U.S. jobs report and outlook for the global economy. Employment climbed more than forecast in January and the U.S. jobless rate unexpectedly fell to the lowest in three years. El-Erian, speaking with Betty Liu, Scarlet Fu and Dominic Chu on Bloomberg Television's "In the Loop," also talks about Federal Reserve policy. (7:25)
February 4, 2012
從每回美元轉強,Fed就出來放話、說法、想法,想辦法把他弄下來,所以Fed希望弱勢美元的態度持續。持續看弱勢美元。日元央行還是會干預,再升空間有限。
Fed Policy to Keep Dollar Weak, John Taylor Says
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Feb. 3 (Bloomberg) -- John Taylor, founder, chairman and chief executive officer of FX Concepts LLC, talks about the outlook for the U.S. dollar and the euro. Taylor, speaking with Sara Eisen on Bloomberg Television's "InsideTrack," also discusses the European sovereign-debt crisis and investment strategy. (3:41)
February 3, 2012
來看看一個操盤手在操盤過程中,辦公室的擺設、螢幕上設定顯示些什麼?除了開盤賭投資市場數字跳動之外,還賭運動、賭超級盃足球賽、賭樂透電腦彩券、到拉斯維加斯賭,現在還要賭「周五就業報告數字」,什麼數字都賭,來看看一個操盤手生活中的秘密。
Secret Lives of Traders
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Electronic trading may be taking away business from traditional trading floors, but it may be opening opportunities for other strategic ventures, with CNBC's Sharon Epperson. (3:24)
February 3, 2012
柏南克在國會聽證會說明現在的經濟大環境狀況。如果經濟能好,願意接受能承擔的通膨風險,擔憂赤字嚴重,認為大家對經濟的感覺過好,房地產與就業市場仍是兩大問題惡源,重申低利率狀態持續至2014年。未來關鍵在就業人口的增長狀態。
Bernanke's Own Words on U.S. Economy, Fed Policy
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Feb. 2 (Bloomberg) -- Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke speaks about the U.S. economy, budget deficit and Fed monetary policy. Bernanke, in a testimony before the House Budget Committee, says the economy has shown signs of improvement while remaining vulnerable to shocks. (3:51)
February 3, 2012
這個影音檔蠻長的,適合周末有空在家看看他們聊天,還蠻好地。麥加華說,我女兒每天上臉書,我很少上,因為我已經認識太多人,不想認識更多人。今年的狀況蠻像1987年,新興市場與黃金今年至此為止上漲了10%以上,行情似乎短線有點超漲,預期三或四月股市會再開始下跌。
Faber Interview on Stocks, Glencore's Bid for Xstrata
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Feb. 2 (Bloomberg) -- Marc Faber, publisher of the Gloom, Boom & Doom report, talks about the outlook for global financial markets, Europe's debt crisis and his investment strategy. Faber also discusses Facebook Inc.'s initial public offering and reports Glencore International Plc is nearing an agreement to combine with Xstrata Plc. He speaks with Susan Li and Rishaad Salamat on Bloomberg Television's "Asia Edge." (17:25)
February 2, 2012
BDI指數創25年新低,怎麼解讀?Gartman使用觀察BDI指數已經15年了,他說,愚笨的銀行,借貸資金給船商。老闆的無知與貪心,造成擁有過多的船舶。太多船舶是BDI創新低的主因,因此BDI對於投資市場運用的有效性逐漸降低中。運用BDI指數觀察全球經濟景氣的看法,目前來看是不正確的。因此BDI指數持續創新低,不須擔心原物料價格會下滑。對於黃金的看法,持續看漲,尤其是看多以非美元的歐元計價黃金。
Baltic Dry Index Slides
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The Baltic Dry Index, once considered a key gauge of the global economic activity, is collapsing to its lowest levels in 25 years. CNBC's De... (3:51)
January 31, 2012
Gartman說,以歐元計價的黃金將續漲,也就是說買黃金空歐元將賺錢,原因有二:歐元區債務問題至今仍無法解決,Fed說將維持低利率至2014年的年底。
Gartman: Sees Gold Going to 1,800 EUR
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Dennis Gartman, The Gartman Letter, discusses the outlook for the precious metal, saying there is still plenty of upside in gold, as Europe ... (3:29)
January 27, 2012
新的時代來臨了!客戶對銀行不信任,對銀行不高興。銀行應該是幫助客戶,而不是為自己賺錢。來看看瑞士達沃斯的全球經濟論壇,銀行家對現在金融業的說法與看法。
Pandit, Jain, Diamond, Gorman on Banking
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Jan. 27 (Bloomberg) -- Vikram Pandit, chief executive officer of Citigroup Inc., Anshu Jain, who will become co-CEO of Deutsche Bank AG in May, Robert Diamond, CEO of Barclays Plc, and James Gorman, CEO of Morgan Stanley, talk about the outlook for the banking industry and market sentiment. They spoke at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland. (2:56)
January 26, 2012
蠻好的內容,值得看!索羅斯說,美國經濟正在往上爬,中國的房地產已經泡沫且破滅,經濟進入緊縮期,印度也有些問題,拉美相對比較好點,但是未來可能有會遭受負面影響。歐元區受單一德國主導政策,目前持續解決問題中,問題逐漸放緩,但是核心的債務問題無解。債務問題造成通縮的螺旋陷阱。仔細說明看影音檔吧!
George Soros Shares View on Europe
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George Soros, Soros Fund Management chairman, explains why the European debt crisis could be worse than the 2008 crisis in the U.S. While Eu... (7:49)
George Soros, told CNBC, Europe is mired in a "spiral of decline" that reinforces itself, adding that, as things stand, "Weaker members of the euro zone are being left as Third World countries that borrowed in foreign currencies." (7:08)
January 24, 2012
美國2011年的Q4的GDP成長率預估為3.0%,Q3為1.8%,第四季的GDP成長率將明顯轉佳,但是專家看2012年的Q1的GDP成長率,將再次下滑至1.8%。原因?耐久材、零售業銷售數據、庫存、貿易赤字、就業數據,整體來看,未來Q1的經濟預估將再次下滑至1.8%。仔細說明如下:
Why GDP report won’t be sign of what’s in store
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觀看全文...
January 24, 2012
債務危機與銀行去槓桿化,金融局勢緊張,IMF調降2012 與 2013年全球經濟成長。調整後,如下表,仔細說明於後:
Global economic | ACTUAL 2010 | Forecast 2011 | Forecast 2012 |
Global growth | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% |
Advanced economies | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% |
United States | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% |
Euro zone | 1.9% | 1.6% | -0.5% |
United Kingdom | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
Japan | 4.4% | -0.9% | 1.7% |
Emerging economies | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% |
China | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% |
India | 9.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% |
Russia | 4% | 4.1% | 3.3% |
Brazil | 7.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% |
World trade volume | 12.7% | 6.9% | 3.8% |
IMF cuts global growth outlook, cites euro fears
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觀看全文...
January 21, 2012
過去一周中國公佈了許多數據,影音檔中探討GDP、匯豐中國PMI初值、上証指數的走勢圖,寬鬆貨幣政策將持續。
China Headed for Soft Landing?
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Is China gliding to a soft landing? And will China relax reserve requirements in order to stimulate its economy. The currency trade behind China's economy, with CNBC's Melissa Lee and the Money In Motion traders. (4:30)
January 20, 2012
麥加華說,現在是典型的空頭反彈格局,但是若是股市再跌,標普測試1100,QE3將會出現,ECB會印鈔救市。美債是垃圾債券。建議投資房地產、股市、貴金。短期來看,股市非常危險,再跌一波可能性大。
US Bonds Should Be Rated Junk Status: Editor
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Marc Faber, editor and publisher of the Gloom, Boom and Doom Report, told CNBC, "Between 2000-2011 US debt has grown three times and the expansion of the debt will continue and what the official statistics don't show you are the un-funded liabilities that are growing at a much faster rate than the official deficit." (14:38)
January 20, 2012
說明澳幣、英鎊、股市三者關連。陸股將上漲。
Technical Look at the Markets
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Paul Day, chief strategist at Market Securities, joined CNBC for a technical look at the markets. (4:03)
January 14, 2012
歐元年中前將貶值到1.17,所持看法主要是ECB的政策與態度改變,以及政治與經濟成長的變化。ECB還會將利率再降一碼,同時還會再進行買入債券的動作。
Juckes on Euro Forecast
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Jan. 13 (Bloomberg) -- Kit Juckes, head of foreign-exchange research at Societe Generale SA, talks about his forecast for the euro and the region's growth outlook. Juckes also discusses the cap on the Swiss franc with Linzie Janis and Linda Yueh on Bloomberg Television's "Countdown." (8:46)
January 14, 2012
近期歐元與美股的同向關係起了變化,走勢不同調,從技術分析來看,下列兩張圖顯示,美股短線反彈中,中長線將跌,歐元短線或有反彈,中長線仍將持續跌。
Talking Numbers: Euro's Next Move
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Abigail Doolittle, Peak Theories Research LLC, discusses the euro vs. the dollar and what the charts have to say about the euro's next move.... (3:14)
January 12, 2012
美國公債拍賣佳,殖利率1.9%在歷史低水位。Gartman說,日本、德國公債殖利率都在歷史低水位,但是太多的人長期放空這些債券,事實上證明至今仍是錯誤的。
Gartman's Low-Yield Treasury Play
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Dennis Gartman,The Gartman Letter, discusses the direction of Treasuries, and how to play the record low yields, with the Fast Money traders... (2:59)
January 7, 2012
IMF的首席經濟學家說,歐洲信心指數滑落至兩年新低,今年全球經濟展望都將下修,歐洲主權債危機已經在影響新興市場,預期會有更負面的影響新興市場。
IMF's Blanchard on Global Forecast, Europe Crisis
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Jan. 6 (Bloomberg) -- Olivier Blanchard, chief economist for the International Monetary Fund, talks about the outlook for global economic growth and the European sovereign debt crisis. Blanchard speaks with Michael McKee at the American Economic Association meeting in Chicago on Bloomberg Television's "Street Smart." (5:30)
January 6, 2012
如果您對原油有興趣,仔細看看這個檔案吧!很棒!周四原油大跌,因庫存增加與美元升值影響,盤後續跌。原油價格與原油基金指數背離,顯示油價將回檔,原因?原油上漲動力來自於投機,而不是從基本面的需求。您對於油價背離,價格將回檔的另類分析方法有興趣嗎?
第1期-另類產業大盤探金實戰操盤班,2/11(六)(假日)寰宇★
What's Moving Oil Now?
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Insight on oil prices, with Addison Armstrong, Tradition Energy; Fadel Gheit, Oppenheimer & Co.; and CNBC's Sharon Epperson. (8:04)
January 4, 2012
Gartman說,11月開始的空頭短線止跌,黃金長多持續,短線低點已見,短多將持續,預期短線回檔要買。歐元升值,美元貶值,銅、基本金屬、農產品等原物料全面上漲。
Gold Back Above $1600
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Commodities are starting 2012 with a bang; gold is up more than 2%, with Dennis Gartman, The Gartman Letter. Coffee stocks are also on a tear. And Rebecca Patterson, JP Morgan Asset Management, discusses the euro's rise against the dollar. (7:44)
January 4, 2012
美股還會再漲嗎?量是重點。標普到了200MA的地方,在三次測試壓力下,上檔空間不多,預期將回檔。美元突破將再升,美債進行在下降軌道線。美股從量與大小型股間的變化來看,股市再漲空間不多。仔細看看吧!
Charting the Market: Is the Rally for Real?
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Charting the market outlook from a technical perspective, with Mary Ann Bartels, BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research head of technical & mark... (3:50)






